With the holiday season creeping in, Baldur’s Gate 3 is once again at the top of many holiday wishlists. Whether someone is a first-time player finally ready to see what the hype is about or a seasoned adventurer eyeing a second copy for a couch co-op partner, the same question resurfaces every November since 2023: Will Baldur’s Gate 3 go on sale for Black Friday, and if so, by how much?

For would-be Baldurians seeking an answer, the likely answer lies in the data we have. If the data is proven correct, then a discount sometime during the holiday season is very likely. However, there is a catch: Black Friday may not fall into this window.

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Baldur's Gate 3's Huge Sales Milestone Shows Larian Shouldn't Stop Just Yet

Baldur's Gate 3 has hit an incredible milestone that defies common developer expectations and calls into question Baldur's Gate 3's future.

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The pricing history below reflects only fluctuations due to Steam discounts. It excludes sales on PS5, Xbox, and other platforms.

Baldur’s Gate 3’s Pricing History

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Baldur’s Gate 3 launched to critical acclaim in August 2023, sweeping nearly every major Game of the Year award. For over a year, Larian Studios barely budged on discounts, keeping the standard $59.99 USD price tag intact with only modest reductions. But as the game matured and entered its second year on the market, the sales became more frequent and deeper. Below is a timeline of BG3’s known price drops on Steam so far:

  • Winter Sale 2023 (Dec 21): $53.00 (10%)
  • Spring Sale 2024 (Mar): $53.00 (10%)
  • May 16, 2024: $50.99 (15%)
  • Summer Sale 2024 (Jun 27): $47.99 (20%)
  • Sep 5, 2024: $47.99 (20%)
  • Nov 4, 2024: $47.99 (20%)
  • Autumn Sale 2024 (Nov 27): $47.99 (20%) — Coincided with Black Friday 2024
  • Winter Sale 2024 (Dec 19): $47.99 (20%)
  • Couch Co-Op Fest (Feb 10, 2025): $47.99 (20%)
  • Spring Sale 2025 (Mar 13): $47.99 (20%)
  • Apr 7, 2025: $47.99 (20%)
  • May 19, 2025: $47.99 (20%)
  • Summer Sale 2025 (Jun 26): $47.99 (20%)
  • Sep 1, 2025: $44.99 (25%) — New lowest price to date
  • Autumn Sale 2025 (Sep 19): $44.99 (25%) — Earliest Steam Autumn sale yet
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This pricing pattern tells a clear story. Larian has gradually increased the discount threshold over time, settling at 20% as the standard and 25% as the deepest recorded discount so far.

Will Baldur’s Gate 3 Go on Sale for Black Friday 2025?

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The prediction about whether Baldur's Gate 3 will have a Black Friday deal has become increasingly complicated thanks to the shift in Steam's sale calendar. Unlike many games that run explicit Black Friday promotions, Baldur’s Gate 3's first and only Black Friday deal was through Steam’s Autumn Sale. And a coincidence does not mean correlation in this case. In 2024, the Autumn Sale aligned perfectly with the Black Friday shopping window, offering players 20% off and perhaps even the hope of a recurring Black Friday sale. However, the 2025 Autumn Sale started much earlier than usual, on September 19, not in late November.

What This Likely Means for Black Friday 2025

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Based on past patterns, a Black Friday discount is still possible, though not guaranteed. In this case, a sale would have to be explicitly tied to Black Friday or another theme. A themed sale separate from Steam's calendar has happened in recent history:

  • Back to the Academy Sale: started September 1, 2025 (25% off)
  • Easter Sale: started April 7, 2025 (20%)
  • Anniversary Sale: started September 5, 2024 (20%)

However, gamers looking to score Baldur’s Gate 3 on sale this holiday season don’t need to fret. The most reliable discount for BG3 each year has coincided with Steam’s seasonal sales, and its upcoming one is the Steam Winter Sale. This year, the 2025 Steam Winter Sale runs December 18, 2025, through January 5, 2026. This is historically Steam’s largest sale of the year, where many developers price games at their lowest. Because Baldur’s Gate 3 has twice set new low prices in 2025, this year's Winter Sale may result in better savings compared to last year.

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A Black Friday sale for Baldur’s Gate 3 could happen due to seasonal trends, but a familiar 20–25% reduction tied to a Steam sale is more reliable than a surprise deal at this point. For many players, spending a little less to step into Faerun for the first time is worth the wait. And for anyone eager to explore the threats of the Absolute or romance a BG3 character at a discount during the final days of Thanksgiving weekend, may the dice roll a Nat 20 on savings.

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Baldur's Gate 3 Tag Page Cover Art
9 /10

Baldur's Gate 3
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RPG
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Systems
PlayStation-1 Xbox-1 PC-1
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Top Critic Avg: 96 /100 Critics Rec: 97%
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Released
August 3, 2023
ESRB
M for Mature: Blood and Gore, Partial Nudity, Sexual Content, Strong Language, Violence
Developer(s)
Larian Studios
Publisher(s)
Larian Studios
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WHERE TO PLAY

DIGITAL
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Genre(s)
RPG